Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with highs near 38–40°C through June 25–26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and northeasterly flow suppressing cloud cover. By June 27, ensemble guidance shows modest moderation to around 36–38°C as a weakening front introduces thundery showers and slightly cooler maritime air, creating the main uncertainty. Official outlooks place the most likely maximum near or just below 38°C, consistent with historical late-June extremes during similar setups, while rapid model shifts in storm timing or intensity could push readings higher or lower. This scientific consensus on borderline conditions underpins the market's slight tilt toward 37°C or below.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 27 giugno?
37°C or below 80%
38°C 12.3%
39°C 3.2%
40°C <1%
$71,030 Vol.
$71,030 Vol.
37°C or below
80%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
37°C or below 80%
38°C 12.3%
39°C 3.2%
40°C <1%
$71,030 Vol.
$71,030 Vol.
37°C or below
80%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with highs near 38–40°C through June 25–26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and northeasterly flow suppressing cloud cover. By June 27, ensemble guidance shows modest moderation to around 36–38°C as a weakening front introduces thundery showers and slightly cooler maritime air, creating the main uncertainty. Official outlooks place the most likely maximum near or just below 38°C, consistent with historical late-June extremes during similar setups, while rapid model shifts in storm timing or intensity could push readings higher or lower. This scientific consensus on borderline conditions underpins the market's slight tilt toward 37°C or below.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti