Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 28 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 28 giugno?
27°C 43%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
$11,246 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,246 Vol.
28 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
43%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 43%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
$11,246 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,246 Vol.
28 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
$345 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
15%
26°C
$293 Vol.
32%
27°C
$3,815 Vol.
43%
28°C
$216 Vol.
11%
29°C
$139 Vol.
1%
30°C
$178 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,674 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$3,717 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,246Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,246Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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