Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 27 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 27 giugno?
27°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 20.0%
24°C 10.9%
NUOVO
$17,924 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,924 Vol.
27 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
44%
27°C
37%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 20.0%
24°C 10.9%
NUOVO
$17,924 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,924 Vol.
27 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
$314 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$611 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,184 Vol.
18%
25°C
$605 Vol.
28%
26°C
$2,287 Vol.
44%
27°C
$6,189 Vol.
37%
28°C
$2,488 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$631 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,924Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,924Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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