Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 26 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 26 giugno?
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$133,840 Vol.
$133,840 Vol.
26 giu 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$133,840 Vol.
$133,840 Vol.
26 giu 2026
73°F or below
$3,857 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$13,745 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$14,216 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$10,483 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$14,958 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$18,842 Vol.
99%
84-85°F
$17,671 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$15,493 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$14,411 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$6,896 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$3,269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$133,840Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133,840Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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