Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 27, with daytime heating tempered by variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with closely matched market probabilities for the 76–77°F, 78–79°F, and 80–81°F bins. Atlantic sea-breeze moderation and early-summer humidity levels typically cap peaks near long-term June climatology for Central Park observations, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 27 giugno?
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 20.5%
76-77°F 13%
$23,243 Vol.
$23,243 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 20.5%
76-77°F 13%
$23,243 Vol.
$23,243 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 27, with daytime heating tempered by variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with closely matched market probabilities for the 76–77°F, 78–79°F, and 80–81°F bins. Atlantic sea-breeze moderation and early-summer humidity levels typically cap peaks near long-term June climatology for Central Park observations, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti