Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 26 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 26 giugno?
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,502 Vol.
$63,502 Vol.
26 giu 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,502 Vol.
$63,502 Vol.
26 giu 2026
19°C or below
$2,026 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,924 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,438 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$16,093 Vol.
100%
25°C
$11,097 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,106 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,201 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$63,502Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,502Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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