The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 20 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 20 luglio?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 10%
NUOVO
$31,441 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,441 Vol.
20 lug 2026
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 10%
NUOVO
$31,441 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,441 Vol.
20 lug 2026
63°F o inferiore
$2,694 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$2,533 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$2,917 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$2,751 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$3,477 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$7,202 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$2,717 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$2,164 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$3,074 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$320 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,441Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,441Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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