Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 15%
NUOVO
$10,458 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,458 Vol.
1 lug 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
15%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 15%
NUOVO
$10,458 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,458 Vol.
1 lug 2026
21°C or below
$9,259 Vol.
1%
22°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$140 Vol.
5%
25°C
$250 Vol.
8%
26°C
$26 Vol.
15%
27°C
$12 Vol.
31%
28°C
$188 Vol.
28%
29°C
$348 Vol.
15%
30°C
$66 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$121 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,458Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,458Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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