Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,999 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,999 Vol.
3 lug 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
45%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,999 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,999 Vol.
3 lug 2026
20°C or below
$514 Vol.
1%
21°C
$715 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,295 Vol.
10%
23°C
$3,765 Vol.
45%
24°C
$4,090 Vol.
32%
25°C
$693 Vol.
11%
26°C
$350 Vol.
1%
27°C
$209 Vol.
1%
28°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,999Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,999Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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