Traders assign a 96.2% probability that Les Wexner will not face criminal charges by June 30 because no active federal or state indictment appears imminent despite continued scrutiny of his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein. Wexner, 88, testified under subpoena before the House Oversight Committee in February 2026, denying any knowledge of Epstein’s crimes and noting that prosecutors had previously informed his counsel he was neither a target nor co-conspirator. A civil lawsuit filed by Epstein victims in April 2026 alleges financial enabling but does not trigger criminal proceedings, and public records show no new arrests, grand-jury activity, or charging announcements in the intervening weeks. With only six weeks remaining before the resolution date and no verified developments signaling an expedited prosecution, the market reflects the absence of concrete steps toward indictment within the narrow window.