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icon for La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?

icon for La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?

28°C o superiore 59%

18°C o inferiore 49%

19°C 48%

20°C 48%

Polymarket
NUOVO

28°C o superiore 59%

18°C o inferiore 49%

19°C 48%

20°C 48%

Polymarket
NUOVO

18°C o inferiore

$0 Vol.

49%

19°C

$0 Vol.

48%

20°C

$0 Vol.

48%

21°C

$0 Vol.

48%

22°C

$0 Vol.

48%

23°C

$0 Vol.

48%

24°C

$0 Vol.

48%

25°C

$0 Vol.

1%

26°C

$0 Vol.

8%

27°C

$0 Vol.

8%

28°C o superiore

$0 Vol.

59%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature around 22–23°C for Milan on September 8, 2026, during the final day of an anomalous early-September heatwave.** Highs are expected near 33–34°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with above-normal conditions persisting through the 8th. An approaching Atlantic perturbation is the main driver shifting sentiment, with model consensus pointing to increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a sharp temperature drop beginning late on the 8th or more decisively on the 9th (highs falling to ~24–28°C and overnight lows to ~18–20°C). This creates genuine uncertainty around whether cooling arrives early enough to pull the Sept 8 minimum below 20°C or even into the upper teens. Historical September averages for Milan (lows near 15–18°C) provide context, but the current setup features stronger high pressure holding until the front arrives. Traders are assigning notable implied probability to cooler outcomes (e.g., 18°C or below) due to timing risks in the forecast, while warmer minima near or above 23°C remain plausible if the change is delayed. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature around 22–23°C for Milan on September 8, 2026, during the final day of an anomalous early-September heatwave.** Highs are expected near 33–34°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with above-normal conditions persisting through the 8th. An approaching Atlantic perturbation is the main driver shifting sentiment, with model consensus pointing to increasing cloud cover, possible showers, and a sharp temperature drop beginning late on the 8th or more decisively on the 9th (highs falling to ~24–28°C and overnight lows to ~18–20°C). This creates genuine uncertainty around whether cooling arrives early enough to pull the Sept 8 minimum below 20°C or even into the upper teens. Historical September averages for Milan (lows near 15–18°C) provide context, but the current setup features stronger high pressure holding until the front arrives. Traders are assigning notable implied probability to cooler outcomes (e.g., 18°C or below) due to timing risks in the forecast, while warmer minima near or above 23°C remain plausible if the change is delayed. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "28°C o superiore" a 30%, seguito da "18°C o inferiore" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 30¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 6, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?" è "28°C o superiore" a 30%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 30% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "18°C o inferiore" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa a Milano l'8 settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.