Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent northeast winds, moderate cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. Current conditions show surface temperatures around 29–31°C with dew points in the low 20s, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 29–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus, including guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, favors a peak of 29–30°C over higher values, as increased moisture and northerly flow suppress stronger warming. With resolution just two days away, any last-minute adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing could shift the exact maximum, though the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this stable forecast signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 6 settembre?
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
25°C o meno
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
47%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
25°C o meno
$23 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$23 Vol.
4%
28°C
$705 Vol.
5%
29°C
$68 Vol.
30%
30°C
$41 Vol.
47%
31°C
$225 Vol.
15%
32°C
$23 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent northeast winds, moderate cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. Current conditions show surface temperatures around 29–31°C with dew points in the low 20s, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 29–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus, including guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, favors a peak of 29–30°C over higher values, as increased moisture and northerly flow suppress stronger warming. With resolution just two days away, any last-minute adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing could shift the exact maximum, though the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this stable forecast signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,146Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent northeast winds, moderate cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. Current conditions show surface temperatures around 29–31°C with dew points in the low 20s, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 29–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus, including guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, favors a peak of 29–30°C over higher values, as increased moisture and northerly flow suppress stronger warming. With resolution just two days away, any last-minute adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing could shift the exact maximum, though the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this stable forecast signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,146Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high near 30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent northeast winds, moderate cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits daytime heating. Current conditions show surface temperatures around 29–31°C with dew points in the low 20s, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 29–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus, including guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, favors a peak of 29–30°C over higher values, as increased moisture and northerly flow suppress stronger warming. With resolution just two days away, any last-minute adjustments to cloud or precipitation timing could shift the exact maximum, though the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this stable forecast signal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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