Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 will suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, driving market-implied odds toward a 29–31°C peak. Official forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models consistently project highs near 26–28°C amid thunderstorms, aligning with climatological norms for early-September monsoon influences but tempered by the current system’s moisture. Model consensus favors the lower outcomes, though subtle differences in timing of any breaks in cloudiness or localized heating could allow brief spikes toward 30–32°C, explaining the tight clustering of leading probabilities and ongoing trader adjustments ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 4 settembre?
31°C 29%
30°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
24°C o inferiore
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C o superiore
3%
31°C 29%
30°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
24°C o inferiore
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C o superiore
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall expected across Taipei on September 4 will suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, driving market-implied odds toward a 29–31°C peak. Official forecasts from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models consistently project highs near 26–28°C amid thunderstorms, aligning with climatological norms for early-September monsoon influences but tempered by the current system’s moisture. Model consensus favors the lower outcomes, though subtle differences in timing of any breaks in cloudiness or localized heating could allow brief spikes toward 30–32°C, explaining the tight clustering of leading probabilities and ongoing trader adjustments ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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