Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum near 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, driven by increasing cloud cover after a bright start, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited insolation that curbs daytime heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5 % implied probability for 21 °C, aligns with these official forecasts and observed early-morning temperatures, while lower probabilities for 20 °C or 22 °C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations. Persistent breezy conditions and possible light showers further temper extremes, keeping outcomes above 23 °C at very low odds. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 2 settembre?
21°C 53%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5.1%
$52,028 Vol.
$52,028 Vol.
2 set 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
53%
22°C
24%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 53%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5.1%
$52,028 Vol.
$52,028 Vol.
2 set 2026
17°C or below
$5,358 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,442 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,659 Vol.
5%
20°C
$10,964 Vol.
20%
21°C
$6,573 Vol.
53%
22°C
$6,624 Vol.
24%
23°C
$5,691 Vol.
5%
24°C
$4,997 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum near 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, driven by increasing cloud cover after a bright start, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited insolation that curbs daytime heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5 % implied probability for 21 °C, aligns with these official forecasts and observed early-morning temperatures, while lower probabilities for 20 °C or 22 °C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations. Persistent breezy conditions and possible light showers further temper extremes, keeping outcomes above 23 °C at very low odds. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$52,028Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum near 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, driven by increasing cloud cover after a bright start, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited insolation that curbs daytime heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5 % implied probability for 21 °C, aligns with these official forecasts and observed early-morning temperatures, while lower probabilities for 20 °C or 22 °C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations. Persistent breezy conditions and possible light showers further temper extremes, keeping outcomes above 23 °C at very low odds. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,028Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum near 21–23 °C for London on 2 September, driven by increasing cloud cover after a bright start, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited insolation that curbs daytime heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55.5 % implied probability for 21 °C, aligns with these official forecasts and observed early-morning temperatures, while lower probabilities for 20 °C or 22 °C capture remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations. Persistent breezy conditions and possible light showers further temper extremes, keeping outcomes above 23 °C at very low odds. Updated observations and afternoon model guidance will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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