Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Finnish Meteorological Institute data and international ensembles, indicate a peak temperature in Helsinki on September 2 near 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This consensus drives the tight market split between 20°C (39.5% implied probability) and 21°C (35.5%), as afternoon solar heating under variable cloud cover and modest advection could easily tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages hover near 16–18°C, making current readings slightly above baseline, while model spreads on exact cloud timing and wind gusts (typically 4–8 m/s) create the narrow uncertainty band favoring these two outcomes over 19°C or higher thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Helsinki il 2 settembre?
20°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
40%
21°C
36%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C o superiore
1%
20°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C 17%
22°C 6%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
40%
21°C
36%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Finnish Meteorological Institute data and international ensembles, indicate a peak temperature in Helsinki on September 2 near 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This consensus drives the tight market split between 20°C (39.5% implied probability) and 21°C (35.5%), as afternoon solar heating under variable cloud cover and modest advection could easily tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages hover near 16–18°C, making current readings slightly above baseline, while model spreads on exact cloud timing and wind gusts (typically 4–8 m/s) create the narrow uncertainty band favoring these two outcomes over 19°C or higher thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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