Recent model consensus points to a northwest airflow over Wellington on September 4 moderating temperatures while strong winds (25–35 mph) and 60–80% rain chances limit daytime heating. Official guidance from MetService and global ensembles currently favors a high near 16°C, yet the tight 17–18°C market lead reflects recent runs showing possible clearing or delayed frontal passage that could add 1–2°C. Key variables include exact cloud timing, wind shift to cooler southeasterlies, and any shower intensity, all of which remain sensitive to the next 24–48 hours of satellite and sounding data. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, underscoring the current mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated MetService briefings and model runs through September 3 for resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 4 settembre?
18°C 48%
17°C 39%
16°C 9%
19°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
39%
18°C
48%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 48%
17°C 39%
16°C 9%
19°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$237 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$427 Vol.
2%
16°C
$800 Vol.
9%
17°C
$399 Vol.
39%
18°C
$3,277 Vol.
48%
19°C
$660 Vol.
7%
20°C
$220 Vol.
2%
21°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a northwest airflow over Wellington on September 4 moderating temperatures while strong winds (25–35 mph) and 60–80% rain chances limit daytime heating. Official guidance from MetService and global ensembles currently favors a high near 16°C, yet the tight 17–18°C market lead reflects recent runs showing possible clearing or delayed frontal passage that could add 1–2°C. Key variables include exact cloud timing, wind shift to cooler southeasterlies, and any shower intensity, all of which remain sensitive to the next 24–48 hours of satellite and sounding data. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, underscoring the current mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated MetService briefings and model runs through September 3 for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,245Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a northwest airflow over Wellington on September 4 moderating temperatures while strong winds (25–35 mph) and 60–80% rain chances limit daytime heating. Official guidance from MetService and global ensembles currently favors a high near 16°C, yet the tight 17–18°C market lead reflects recent runs showing possible clearing or delayed frontal passage that could add 1–2°C. Key variables include exact cloud timing, wind shift to cooler southeasterlies, and any shower intensity, all of which remain sensitive to the next 24–48 hours of satellite and sounding data. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, underscoring the current mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated MetService briefings and model runs through September 3 for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,245Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a northwest airflow over Wellington on September 4 moderating temperatures while strong winds (25–35 mph) and 60–80% rain chances limit daytime heating. Official guidance from MetService and global ensembles currently favors a high near 16°C, yet the tight 17–18°C market lead reflects recent runs showing possible clearing or delayed frontal passage that could add 1–2°C. Key variables include exact cloud timing, wind shift to cooler southeasterlies, and any shower intensity, all of which remain sensitive to the next 24–48 hours of satellite and sounding data. Historical September maxima average near 14°C, underscoring the current mild anomaly. Traders will watch updated MetService briefings and model runs through September 3 for resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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