**Consistent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s highest-implied-probability outcome of 66–67 °F.** Early-September climatology for coastal Southern California features a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically produces minimum temperatures of 63–66 °F at official stations such as LAX. Current forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office and multiple private models show patchy morning low clouds or fog on the 4th followed by mostly clear skies at night, with dew-point and boundary-layer conditions supporting lows around 64–66 °F. No significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signal is present; Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and is not expected to alter the coastal thermal regime before Friday night. Historical records (lowest 55 °F in 1942) remain outliers under the current stable pattern, while warmer extremes above 70 °F would require an atypical offshore flow or suppressed marine layer that is not indicated in the latest model runs. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow mid-60s range most heavily, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the narrow resolution thresholds used by the market. Updated model guidance and any shift in the marine-layer depth will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 4 settembre?
66-67°F 51%
55°F o inferiore 50%
74°F o superiore 50%
56-57°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
55°F o inferiore
50%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
51%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
49%
74°F o superiore
50%
66-67°F 51%
55°F o inferiore 50%
74°F o superiore 50%
56-57°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
55°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
50%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$35 Vol.
51%
68-69°F
$71 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s highest-implied-probability outcome of 66–67 °F.**
Early-September climatology for coastal Southern California features a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically produces minimum temperatures of 63–66 °F at official stations such as LAX. Current forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office and multiple private models show patchy morning low clouds or fog on the 4th followed by mostly clear skies at night, with dew-point and boundary-layer conditions supporting lows around 64–66 °F.
No significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signal is present; Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and is not expected to alter the coastal thermal regime before Friday night. Historical records (lowest 55 °F in 1942) remain outliers under the current stable pattern, while warmer extremes above 70 °F would require an atypical offshore flow or suppressed marine layer that is not indicated in the latest model runs.
Traders are therefore weighting the narrow mid-60s range most heavily, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the narrow resolution thresholds used by the market. Updated model guidance and any shift in the marine-layer depth will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$120Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s highest-implied-probability outcome of 66–67 °F.**
Early-September climatology for coastal Southern California features a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically produces minimum temperatures of 63–66 °F at official stations such as LAX. Current forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office and multiple private models show patchy morning low clouds or fog on the 4th followed by mostly clear skies at night, with dew-point and boundary-layer conditions supporting lows around 64–66 °F.
No significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signal is present; Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and is not expected to alter the coastal thermal regime before Friday night. Historical records (lowest 55 °F in 1942) remain outliers under the current stable pattern, while warmer extremes above 70 °F would require an atypical offshore flow or suppressed marine layer that is not indicated in the latest model runs.
Traders are therefore weighting the narrow mid-60s range most heavily, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the narrow resolution thresholds used by the market. Updated model guidance and any shift in the marine-layer depth will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Consistent National Weather Service and model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-60s for Los Angeles on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s highest-implied-probability outcome of 66–67 °F.** Early-September climatology for coastal Southern California features a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically produces minimum temperatures of 63–66 °F at official stations such as LAX. Current forecasts from the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard office and multiple private models show patchy morning low clouds or fog on the 4th followed by mostly clear skies at night, with dew-point and boundary-layer conditions supporting lows around 64–66 °F. No significant synoptic cooling or heat-wave signal is present; Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and is not expected to alter the coastal thermal regime before Friday night. Historical records (lowest 55 °F in 1942) remain outliers under the current stable pattern, while warmer extremes above 70 °F would require an atypical offshore flow or suppressed marine layer that is not indicated in the latest model runs. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow mid-60s range most heavily, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the narrow resolution thresholds used by the market. Updated model guidance and any shift in the marine-layer depth will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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