**Forecast models from sources including INMET and international centers currently project Sao Paulo's minimum temperature on September 4 in the 15–18°C range, reflecting mild nocturnal conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This spread across multiple bins explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day cooling from shifting pressure patterns. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current setup favors warmer minima due to recent high-pressure influence. Model consensus remains moderate given typical short-range variability in urban heat island effects and steering winds; updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 4 settembre?
23°C o superiore 70%
20°C 48%
19°C 45%
21°C 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
31%
14°C
27%
15°C
32%
16°C
36%
17°C
26%
18°C
9%
19°C
45%
20°C
48%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C o superiore
70%
23°C o superiore 70%
20°C 48%
19°C 45%
21°C 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
32%
16°C
$17 Vol.
36%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$87 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
44%
23°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including INMET and international centers currently project Sao Paulo's minimum temperature on September 4 in the 15–18°C range, reflecting mild nocturnal conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This spread across multiple bins explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day cooling from shifting pressure patterns. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current setup favors warmer minima due to recent high-pressure influence. Model consensus remains moderate given typical short-range variability in urban heat island effects and steering winds; updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$104Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including INMET and international centers currently project Sao Paulo's minimum temperature on September 4 in the 15–18°C range, reflecting mild nocturnal conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This spread across multiple bins explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day cooling from shifting pressure patterns. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current setup favors warmer minima due to recent high-pressure influence. Model consensus remains moderate given typical short-range variability in urban heat island effects and steering winds; updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$104Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including INMET and international centers currently project Sao Paulo's minimum temperature on September 4 in the 15–18°C range, reflecting mild nocturnal conditions under partly cloudy skies with light winds.** This spread across multiple bins explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day cooling from shifting pressure patterns. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the current setup favors warmer minima due to recent high-pressure influence. Model consensus remains moderate given typical short-range variability in urban heat island effects and steering winds; updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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