Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 3 settembre?
63°F o inferiore 33%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 27%
82°F o superiore 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
33%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F o superiore
26%
63°F o inferiore 33%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 27%
82°F o superiore 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
$10 Vol.
33%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
14%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82°F o superiore
$10 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$70Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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