Trader consensus shows high uncertainty in the Dallas minimum temperature forecast for September 3, with outcomes from 72–83°F each carrying 25–27% implied probability. Short-range models diverge on overnight radiative cooling rates under varying cloud cover, humidity, and light wind patterns, which can shift lows by several degrees. Early September climatology for north Texas features average minima near 72°F, but a weak frontal boundary or upper-level pattern changes introduce spread. National Weather Service updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Dallas il 3 settembre?
69°F o inferiore 69%
88°F o superiore 69%
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 32%
69°F o inferiore
69%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F o superiore
69%
69°F o inferiore 69%
88°F o superiore 69%
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 32%
69°F o inferiore
69%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F o superiore
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows high uncertainty in the Dallas minimum temperature forecast for September 3, with outcomes from 72–83°F each carrying 25–27% implied probability. Short-range models diverge on overnight radiative cooling rates under varying cloud cover, humidity, and light wind patterns, which can shift lows by several degrees. Early September climatology for north Texas features average minima near 72°F, but a weak frontal boundary or upper-level pattern changes introduce spread. National Weather Service updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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