Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow over the Kanto region, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on September 1. Persistent humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak solar heating and potential brief showers, keeping outcomes tightly bunched. Historical early-September normals around 30°C provide context, while the market-implied distribution (peaking at 30°C and 31°C) aggregates trader assessments of these short-range variables ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 1° settembre?
30°C 35%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
29%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
26°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$75 Vol.
6%
29°C
$59 Vol.
16%
30°C
$163 Vol.
35%
31°C
$185 Vol.
29%
32°C
$175 Vol.
9%
33°C
$56 Vol.
5%
34°C
$58 Vol.
4%
35°C
$25 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow over the Kanto region, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on September 1. Persistent humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak solar heating and potential brief showers, keeping outcomes tightly bunched. Historical early-September normals around 30°C provide context, while the market-implied distribution (peaking at 30°C and 31°C) aggregates trader assessments of these short-range variables ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$990Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow over the Kanto region, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on September 1. Persistent humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak solar heating and potential brief showers, keeping outcomes tightly bunched. Historical early-September normals around 30°C provide context, while the market-implied distribution (peaking at 30°C and 31°C) aggregates trader assessments of these short-range variables ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$990Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow over the Kanto region, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on September 1. Persistent humidity and variable afternoon cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak solar heating and potential brief showers, keeping outcomes tightly bunched. Historical early-September normals around 30°C provide context, while the market-implied distribution (peaking at 30°C and 31°C) aggregates trader assessments of these short-range variables ahead of final observational data from the Tokyo station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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