**Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance point to a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on August 29, 2026, as a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow suppress daytime warming.** Forecasts from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area office show partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F, while other guidance ranges from 64–67°F amid 10–20 mph west winds that enhance coastal cooling. This follows a brief warmup earlier in the week and aligns with the return of typical late-August marine influence, keeping temperatures below the long-term August average high near 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, with minor divergences arising from exact station measurement, timing of any afternoon clearing, or subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 29 agosto?
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 33%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o inferiore
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76°F o superiore
1%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 33%
62-63°F 18%
64-65°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
57°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$11 Vol.
14%
66-67°F
$236 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$3 Vol.
33%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance point to a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on August 29, 2026, as a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow suppress daytime warming.** Forecasts from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area office show partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F, while other guidance ranges from 64–67°F amid 10–20 mph west winds that enhance coastal cooling. This follows a brief warmup earlier in the week and aligns with the return of typical late-August marine influence, keeping temperatures below the long-term August average high near 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, with minor divergences arising from exact station measurement, timing of any afternoon clearing, or subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$272Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance point to a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on August 29, 2026, as a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow suppress daytime warming.** Forecasts from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area office show partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F, while other guidance ranges from 64–67°F amid 10–20 mph west winds that enhance coastal cooling. This follows a brief warmup earlier in the week and aligns with the return of typical late-August marine influence, keeping temperatures below the long-term August average high near 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, with minor divergences arising from exact station measurement, timing of any afternoon clearing, or subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance point to a high in the mid-60s for San Francisco on August 29, 2026, as a strengthening marine layer and persistent onshore westerly flow suppress daytime warming.** Forecasts from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area office show partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F, while other guidance ranges from 64–67°F amid 10–20 mph west winds that enhance coastal cooling. This follows a brief warmup earlier in the week and aligns with the return of typical late-August marine influence, keeping temperatures below the long-term August average high near 69°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–69°F reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, with minor divergences arising from exact station measurement, timing of any afternoon clearing, or subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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