**Forecast consensus points to a Tokyo high of 30–32°C on August 28, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a transition from recent clear, hot conditions (33–35°C) to a more humid, unstable pattern featuring 50% precipitation probability and southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and promotes convective cooling. This setup aligns closely with late-August climatology near 30°C while introducing variability from shower timing and cloud thickness. Traders therefore assign balanced implied probabilities across adjacent bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum rather than strong directional conviction. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 28 agosto?
30°C 32%
27°C 31%
31°C 29%
35°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
31%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C
20%
33°C
13%
34°C
8%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
3%
30°C 32%
27°C 31%
31°C 29%
35°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
26°C or below
$34 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$22 Vol.
28%
36°C or higher
$22 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a Tokyo high of 30–32°C on August 28, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a transition from recent clear, hot conditions (33–35°C) to a more humid, unstable pattern featuring 50% precipitation probability and southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and promotes convective cooling. This setup aligns closely with late-August climatology near 30°C while introducing variability from shower timing and cloud thickness. Traders therefore assign balanced implied probabilities across adjacent bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum rather than strong directional conviction. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$78Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a Tokyo high of 30–32°C on August 28, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a transition from recent clear, hot conditions (33–35°C) to a more humid, unstable pattern featuring 50% precipitation probability and southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and promotes convective cooling. This setup aligns closely with late-August climatology near 30°C while introducing variability from shower timing and cloud thickness. Traders therefore assign balanced implied probabilities across adjacent bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum rather than strong directional conviction. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a Tokyo high of 30–32°C on August 28, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a transition from recent clear, hot conditions (33–35°C) to a more humid, unstable pattern featuring 50% precipitation probability and southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and promotes convective cooling. This setup aligns closely with late-August climatology near 30°C while introducing variability from shower timing and cloud thickness. Traders therefore assign balanced implied probabilities across adjacent bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum rather than strong directional conviction. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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