Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 26 agosto?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
$8 Vol.
2%
23°C
$594 Vol.
4%
24°C
$503 Vol.
11%
25°C
$627 Vol.
28%
26°C
$632 Vol.
28%
27°C
$474 Vol.
15%
28°C
$71 Vol.
7%
29°C
$197 Vol.
4%
30°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,993Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,993Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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