Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$231 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$362 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$745 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$2,827 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$826 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$159 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,039Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,039Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24 under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph and only a slight afternoon shower chance. This aligns with the market's tight spread between the 78-79°F (37.5%) and 80-81°F (44.5%) bins, as recent model runs show limited spread around the upper 70s to low 80s. Above-normal moisture from prior days and a weak frontal boundary introduce minor uncertainty in peak readings, while the climatological average high of 82°F provides context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 83°F. Updated afternoon model guidance and official observations will be key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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