Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 25 agosto?
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
28%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
$70 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
17%
28°C
$68 Vol.
44%
29°C
$87 Vol.
28%
30°C
$10 Vol.
8%
31°C
$15 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$325Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$325Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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