Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 25 agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti