Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 23 agosto?
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 47%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
73°F or below
$249 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,115 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$432 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$988 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$774 Vol.
47%
84-85°F
$1,100 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$234 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$106 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,527Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,527Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts anchor the market around an 82°F high for New York City on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Model consensus points to temperatures near or slightly below the Central Park climatological average of 83°F, with recent cooler, more humid air and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating and convective development. These conditions favor the 80–83°F bins holding the bulk of implied probability, though minor forecast shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the daily maximum across bin thresholds ahead of official Central Park observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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