Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo-France indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime maxima near 23–24°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting the typical late-August decline from peak summer warmth and the current consensus on Atlantic-driven moderation. Historical climatology shows average August highs around 23–25°C in the capital, while earlier August heat episodes had pushed readings well above 30°C before the recent shift. Traders are closely watching updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the weekend for any last adjustments in steering patterns or moisture that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 22 agosto?
23°C 51%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
15%
23°C
51%
24°C
34%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
21°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
6%
22°C
$46 Vol.
15%
23°C
$94 Vol.
51%
24°C
$52 Vol.
34%
25°C
$35 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$15 Vol.
2%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo-France indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime maxima near 23–24°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting the typical late-August decline from peak summer warmth and the current consensus on Atlantic-driven moderation. Historical climatology shows average August highs around 23–25°C in the capital, while earlier August heat episodes had pushed readings well above 30°C before the recent shift. Traders are closely watching updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the weekend for any last adjustments in steering patterns or moisture that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$508Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo-France indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime maxima near 23–24°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting the typical late-August decline from peak summer warmth and the current consensus on Atlantic-driven moderation. Historical climatology shows average August highs around 23–25°C in the capital, while earlier August heat episodes had pushed readings well above 30°C before the recent shift. Traders are closely watching updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the weekend for any last adjustments in steering patterns or moisture that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$508Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo-France indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime maxima near 23–24°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting the typical late-August decline from peak summer warmth and the current consensus on Atlantic-driven moderation. Historical climatology shows average August highs around 23–25°C in the capital, while earlier August heat episodes had pushed readings well above 30°C before the recent shift. Traders are closely watching updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the weekend for any last adjustments in steering patterns or moisture that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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