Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 22 most likely falling in the 34–37 °C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 35–36 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors center on daytime cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (estimated 50–70%), which would limit solar insolation and suppress maxima in this humid subtropical basin, versus any clearer intervals that enhance surface heating. The city’s pronounced urban heat island effect and positioning relative to the subtropical high add further variability across ensemble runs. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours should narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 22 agosto?
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
37°C 19%
34°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
13%
35°C
24%
36°C
31%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
8%
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
37°C 19%
34°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
28°C or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2 Vol.
1%
32°C
$62 Vol.
3%
33°C
$634 Vol.
6%
34°C
$682 Vol.
13%
35°C
$372 Vol.
24%
36°C
$113 Vol.
31%
37°C
$161 Vol.
19%
38°C or higher
$386 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 22 most likely falling in the 34–37 °C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 35–36 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors center on daytime cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (estimated 50–70%), which would limit solar insolation and suppress maxima in this humid subtropical basin, versus any clearer intervals that enhance surface heating. The city’s pronounced urban heat island effect and positioning relative to the subtropical high add further variability across ensemble runs. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours should narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,970Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 22 most likely falling in the 34–37 °C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 35–36 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors center on daytime cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (estimated 50–70%), which would limit solar insolation and suppress maxima in this humid subtropical basin, versus any clearer intervals that enhance surface heating. The city’s pronounced urban heat island effect and positioning relative to the subtropical high add further variability across ensemble runs. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours should narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,970Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 22 most likely falling in the 34–37 °C range, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 35–36 °C outcomes. Differentiating factors center on daytime cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (estimated 50–70%), which would limit solar insolation and suppress maxima in this humid subtropical basin, versus any clearer intervals that enhance surface heating. The city’s pronounced urban heat island effect and positioning relative to the subtropical high add further variability across ensemble runs. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours should narrow the spread ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti