Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 21 agosto?
25°C 98%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
NUOVO
$34,342 Vol.
NUOVO
$34,342 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
NUOVO
$34,342 Vol.
NUOVO
$34,342 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$508 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,949 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,475 Vol.
2%
25°C
$8,048 Vol.
98%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,864 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,529 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,148 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$34,342Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,342Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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