Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 21 agosto?
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
16%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
28°C or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$187 Vol.
1%
30°C
$722 Vol.
3%
31°C
$69 Vol.
6%
32°C
$196 Vol.
16%
33°C
$332 Vol.
38%
34°C
$117 Vol.
28%
35°C
$64 Vol.
14%
36°C
$159 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,115Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,115Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather models indicate a typical late-August pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs most likely reaching 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, combined with high humidity and the urban heat island effect, position 33°C as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 34°C. Model consensus and seasonal climatology support this narrow range, while the chance of stronger convection or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower ahead of the August 21 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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