Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 19 agosto?
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
$143 Vol.
2%
25°C
$129 Vol.
6%
26°C
$152 Vol.
18%
27°C
$526 Vol.
32%
28°C
$40 Vol.
27%
29°C
$802 Vol.
11%
30°C
$364 Vol.
5%
31°C
$23 Vol.
2%
32°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,675Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,675Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich's August 19 maximum near 27–28 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and any weak frontal passage. Late-summer synoptic patterns with light winds and limited cloud cover support temperatures several degrees above the 23 °C climatological August high, yet small differences in timing or moisture advection can shift the peak by 1 °C. Market-implied odds remain tightly balanced between these two outcomes because model runs continue to show overlapping probability distributions around the upper-20s threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 26 °C or 29 °C. Updated high-resolution guidance and surface observations expected within the next 24–48 hours will further narrow the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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