Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow align with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 20–23°C under typical high-pressure patterns. Numerical weather models indicate a cloudy regime on August 21 with limited solar heating and light winds, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 22–23°C. This consensus drives the market's emphasis on those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflect modest uncertainty in daytime warming if cloud cover thins. No significant synoptic shifts, such as warm advection or clear-sky anomalies, appear in the latest guidance to elevate extremes beyond historical baselines. Updated model runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 21 agosto?
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
16°C or below
$593 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
2%
20°C
$25 Vol.
3%
21°C
$14 Vol.
11%
22°C
$66 Vol.
34%
23°C
$452 Vol.
45%
24°C
$58 Vol.
10%
25°C
$35 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$162 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow align with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 20–23°C under typical high-pressure patterns. Numerical weather models indicate a cloudy regime on August 21 with limited solar heating and light winds, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 22–23°C. This consensus drives the market's emphasis on those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflect modest uncertainty in daytime warming if cloud cover thins. No significant synoptic shifts, such as warm advection or clear-sky anomalies, appear in the latest guidance to elevate extremes beyond historical baselines. Updated model runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,944Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow align with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 20–23°C under typical high-pressure patterns. Numerical weather models indicate a cloudy regime on August 21 with limited solar heating and light winds, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 22–23°C. This consensus drives the market's emphasis on those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflect modest uncertainty in daytime warming if cloud cover thins. No significant synoptic shifts, such as warm advection or clear-sky anomalies, appear in the latest guidance to elevate extremes beyond historical baselines. Updated model runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,944Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow align with mid-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 20–23°C under typical high-pressure patterns. Numerical weather models indicate a cloudy regime on August 21 with limited solar heating and light winds, supporting maximum temperatures centered near 22–23°C. This consensus drives the market's emphasis on those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24°C or above reflect modest uncertainty in daytime warming if cloud cover thins. No significant synoptic shifts, such as warm advection or clear-sky anomalies, appear in the latest guidance to elevate extremes beyond historical baselines. Updated model runs from agencies like the Met Office and regional ensembles will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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