**KMA short-range guidance for August 19 projects a daytime maximum of 33 °C under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, with the hourly peak near 15:00 local time amid light westerly winds and moderate humidity.** Trader emphasis on the 29–30 °C band (combined ~65 % implied probability) reflects Incheon’s coastal location, where sea-breeze advection and potential marine-layer stratus can cap actual readings 2–4 °C below inland or model-grid maxima. Afternoon cloud development further reduces surface insolation, while residual moisture from earlier monsoon retreat adds uncertainty in timing and coverage. Ensemble spread and historical analogs for mid-August high-pressure regimes support a narrow distribution around 29–31 °C, with only modest odds assigned to 32 °C or higher absent clearer skies or stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 19th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 19 agosto?
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
34%
31°C
18%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
23°C or below
$286 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$660 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$205 Vol.
1%
26°C
$52 Vol.
2%
27°C
$120 Vol.
4%
28°C
$92 Vol.
11%
29°C
$156 Vol.
32%
30°C
$121 Vol.
34%
31°C
$89 Vol.
18%
32°C
$158 Vol.
8%
33°C or higher
$51 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19 projects a daytime maximum of 33 °C under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, with the hourly peak near 15:00 local time amid light westerly winds and moderate humidity.** Trader emphasis on the 29–30 °C band (combined ~65 % implied probability) reflects Incheon’s coastal location, where sea-breeze advection and potential marine-layer stratus can cap actual readings 2–4 °C below inland or model-grid maxima. Afternoon cloud development further reduces surface insolation, while residual moisture from earlier monsoon retreat adds uncertainty in timing and coverage. Ensemble spread and historical analogs for mid-August high-pressure regimes support a narrow distribution around 29–31 °C, with only modest odds assigned to 32 °C or higher absent clearer skies or stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 19th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,991Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19 projects a daytime maximum of 33 °C under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, with the hourly peak near 15:00 local time amid light westerly winds and moderate humidity.** Trader emphasis on the 29–30 °C band (combined ~65 % implied probability) reflects Incheon’s coastal location, where sea-breeze advection and potential marine-layer stratus can cap actual readings 2–4 °C below inland or model-grid maxima. Afternoon cloud development further reduces surface insolation, while residual moisture from earlier monsoon retreat adds uncertainty in timing and coverage. Ensemble spread and historical analogs for mid-August high-pressure regimes support a narrow distribution around 29–31 °C, with only modest odds assigned to 32 °C or higher absent clearer skies or stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 19th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,991Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KMA short-range guidance for August 19 projects a daytime maximum of 33 °C under mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, with the hourly peak near 15:00 local time amid light westerly winds and moderate humidity.** Trader emphasis on the 29–30 °C band (combined ~65 % implied probability) reflects Incheon’s coastal location, where sea-breeze advection and potential marine-layer stratus can cap actual readings 2–4 °C below inland or model-grid maxima. Afternoon cloud development further reduces surface insolation, while residual moisture from earlier monsoon retreat adds uncertainty in timing and coverage. Ensemble spread and historical analogs for mid-August high-pressure regimes support a narrow distribution around 29–31 °C, with only modest odds assigned to 32 °C or higher absent clearer skies or stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 19th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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