Current forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 27–29°C on August 21, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that allows moderate sea-breeze cooling along the Bosphorus while limiting cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August maxima averaging near 28°C and minimal precipitation expected to influence readings. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic patterns and recent model consensus, though minor shifts in wind or timing could still alter the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 21 agosto?
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
19%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
19%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 27–29°C on August 21, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that allows moderate sea-breeze cooling along the Bosphorus while limiting cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August maxima averaging near 28°C and minimal precipitation expected to influence readings. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable synoptic patterns and recent model consensus, though minor shifts in wind or timing could still alter the recorded peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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