Recent forecast models and climatological data position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's August 21 high, with trader consensus reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited sea-breeze cooling under moderate humidity support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 30–32°C August average, while steering patterns and subsidence limit rapid intensification. Updated runs from agencies show minimal model spread, with no incoming fronts or heat-wave signals expected to push extremes higher or drop values notably lower. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings, where small variations in wind or cloud cover could shift the final value within the tightly bunched 32–34°C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 21 agosto?
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
35°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and climatological data position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's August 21 high, with trader consensus reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited sea-breeze cooling under moderate humidity support daytime maxima near or slightly above the 30–32°C August average, while steering patterns and subsidence limit rapid intensification. Updated runs from agencies show minimal model spread, with no incoming fronts or heat-wave signals expected to push extremes higher or drop values notably lower. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings, where small variations in wind or cloud cover could shift the final value within the tightly bunched 32–34°C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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