Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and numerical models indicate a polar air mass will dominate over Buenos Aires on August 22, with clear skies and westerly winds limiting daytime heating and supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily maximum near 12–13 °C, consistent with current high-pressure conditions following earlier instability. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5 % implied probability on 14 °C and secondary support for 15 °C and 13 °C appears to incorporate model spread and the potential for modest warming if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond baseline expectations. Upcoming official updates from SMN and refined short-range model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 22 agosto?
14°C 46%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 5%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
22%
14°C
46%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 46%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 5%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
22%
14°C
46%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and numerical models indicate a polar air mass will dominate over Buenos Aires on August 22, with clear skies and westerly winds limiting daytime heating and supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily maximum near 12–13 °C, consistent with current high-pressure conditions following earlier instability. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5 % implied probability on 14 °C and secondary support for 15 °C and 13 °C appears to incorporate model spread and the potential for modest warming if winds weaken or insolation increases slightly beyond baseline expectations. Upcoming official updates from SMN and refined short-range model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti