National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a highest temperature in New York City on August 20 near the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. Key variables include afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture levels that could suppress or enhance convective development, and light steering winds that limit rapid advection of cooler marine air. Historical August climatology places the Central Park normal around 83°F, providing context for the spread across adjacent bins. Model-to-model differences in cloud cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze effects introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 20 agosto?
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
71°F or below
$30 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$104 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$114 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$1,093 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$819 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$625 Vol.
30%
84-85°F
$1,748 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$2,429 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$81 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a highest temperature in New York City on August 20 near the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. Key variables include afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture levels that could suppress or enhance convective development, and light steering winds that limit rapid advection of cooler marine air. Historical August climatology places the Central Park normal around 83°F, providing context for the spread across adjacent bins. Model-to-model differences in cloud cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze effects introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,206Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a highest temperature in New York City on August 20 near the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. Key variables include afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture levels that could suppress or enhance convective development, and light steering winds that limit rapid advection of cooler marine air. Historical August climatology places the Central Park normal around 83°F, providing context for the spread across adjacent bins. Model-to-model differences in cloud cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze effects introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,206Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently indicate a highest temperature in New York City on August 20 near the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–83°F outcomes. Key variables include afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture levels that could suppress or enhance convective development, and light steering winds that limit rapid advection of cooler marine air. Historical August climatology places the Central Park normal around 83°F, providing context for the spread across adjacent bins. Model-to-model differences in cloud cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze effects introduce the observed uncertainty, with updated runs expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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