Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chongqing on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability for that exact outcome. Typical August climatology in the region features average lows of 24–26°C amid subtropical high humidity and monsoon influences, with recent observations showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and minimal diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Cooler readings at or below 21°C carry 42% odds but would require an atypical surge of northerly flow or heavier overnight rain, which current guidance does not strongly support. Model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could adjust the final minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 21 agosto?
25°C 58%
21°C o inferiore 37%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
37%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
58%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 58%
21°C o inferiore 37%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$27 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$22 Vol.
58%
26°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chongqing on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability for that exact outcome. Typical August climatology in the region features average lows of 24–26°C amid subtropical high humidity and monsoon influences, with recent observations showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and minimal diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Cooler readings at or below 21°C carry 42% odds but would require an atypical surge of northerly flow or heavier overnight rain, which current guidance does not strongly support. Model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could adjust the final minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$748Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chongqing on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability for that exact outcome. Typical August climatology in the region features average lows of 24–26°C amid subtropical high humidity and monsoon influences, with recent observations showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and minimal diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Cooler readings at or below 21°C carry 42% odds but would require an atypical surge of northerly flow or heavier overnight rain, which current guidance does not strongly support. Model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could adjust the final minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$748Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chongqing on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 58% implied probability for that exact outcome. Typical August climatology in the region features average lows of 24–26°C amid subtropical high humidity and monsoon influences, with recent observations showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and minimal diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Cooler readings at or below 21°C carry 42% odds but would require an atypical surge of northerly flow or heavier overnight rain, which current guidance does not strongly support. Model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours, though minor shifts in precipitation timing could adjust the final minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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