Weather model consensus from major ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently favors a minimum temperature in Beijing near 23–24 °C for August 22, reflecting the typical late-summer monsoon influence that brings moderating southerly flow and overnight cloud cover. Recent surface observations show daily lows hovering around 22–25 °C amid stable high pressure, with limited cold-air advection expected overnight. Key variables separating the tightly bunched market outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any last-minute shift in dew-point or wind speed; forecasters note that even small changes in these parameters can swing the reading by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will likely determine whether sentiment tilts toward the lower or higher side of the current 23–25 °C cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 22 agosto?
23°C 36%
25°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
6%
20°C
9%
21°C
21%
22°C
23%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 36%
25°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
19°C or below
$86 Vol.
6%
20°C
$103 Vol.
9%
21°C
$43 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1 Vol.
36%
24°C
$16 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$8 Vol.
7%
28°C
$21 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$23 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather model consensus from major ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently favors a minimum temperature in Beijing near 23–24 °C for August 22, reflecting the typical late-summer monsoon influence that brings moderating southerly flow and overnight cloud cover. Recent surface observations show daily lows hovering around 22–25 °C amid stable high pressure, with limited cold-air advection expected overnight. Key variables separating the tightly bunched market outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any last-minute shift in dew-point or wind speed; forecasters note that even small changes in these parameters can swing the reading by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will likely determine whether sentiment tilts toward the lower or higher side of the current 23–25 °C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$300Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather model consensus from major ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently favors a minimum temperature in Beijing near 23–24 °C for August 22, reflecting the typical late-summer monsoon influence that brings moderating southerly flow and overnight cloud cover. Recent surface observations show daily lows hovering around 22–25 °C amid stable high pressure, with limited cold-air advection expected overnight. Key variables separating the tightly bunched market outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any last-minute shift in dew-point or wind speed; forecasters note that even small changes in these parameters can swing the reading by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will likely determine whether sentiment tilts toward the lower or higher side of the current 23–25 °C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$300Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather model consensus from major ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently favors a minimum temperature in Beijing near 23–24 °C for August 22, reflecting the typical late-summer monsoon influence that brings moderating southerly flow and overnight cloud cover. Recent surface observations show daily lows hovering around 22–25 °C amid stable high pressure, with limited cold-air advection expected overnight. Key variables separating the tightly bunched market outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and any last-minute shift in dew-point or wind speed; forecasters note that even small changes in these parameters can swing the reading by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will likely determine whether sentiment tilts toward the lower or higher side of the current 23–25 °C cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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