Persistent high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow have kept Istanbul under mostly clear skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning the lowest temperature on August 22 near the 22–23°C range that leads current market-implied odds. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows nighttime minima holding at or slightly above seasonal norms of 20–21°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara that moderate cooling along the Bosphorus. Recent model runs exhibit low day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest uncertainty from potential weak sea-breeze shifts or localized cloud cover. Historical August climatology reinforces the narrow spread, as daily lows rarely deviate far from 19–23°C absent major synoptic changes. Traders are watching the final 48-hour forecast updates and official station data for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 22 agosto?
23°C 64%
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
28°C or higher 38%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
30%
19°C
27%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
64%
24°C
35%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
38%
23°C 64%
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
28°C or higher 38%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
30%
19°C
$5 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$14 Vol.
64%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow have kept Istanbul under mostly clear skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning the lowest temperature on August 22 near the 22–23°C range that leads current market-implied odds. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows nighttime minima holding at or slightly above seasonal norms of 20–21°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara that moderate cooling along the Bosphorus. Recent model runs exhibit low day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest uncertainty from potential weak sea-breeze shifts or localized cloud cover. Historical August climatology reinforces the narrow spread, as daily lows rarely deviate far from 19–23°C absent major synoptic changes. Traders are watching the final 48-hour forecast updates and official station data for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$158Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow have kept Istanbul under mostly clear skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning the lowest temperature on August 22 near the 22–23°C range that leads current market-implied odds. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows nighttime minima holding at or slightly above seasonal norms of 20–21°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara that moderate cooling along the Bosphorus. Recent model runs exhibit low day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest uncertainty from potential weak sea-breeze shifts or localized cloud cover. Historical August climatology reinforces the narrow spread, as daily lows rarely deviate far from 19–23°C absent major synoptic changes. Traders are watching the final 48-hour forecast updates and official station data for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$158Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow have kept Istanbul under mostly clear skies with limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning the lowest temperature on August 22 near the 22–23°C range that leads current market-implied odds. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows nighttime minima holding at or slightly above seasonal norms of 20–21°C, supported by warm sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara that moderate cooling along the Bosphorus. Recent model runs exhibit low day-to-day variability this close to the event, with only modest uncertainty from potential weak sea-breeze shifts or localized cloud cover. Historical August climatology reinforces the narrow spread, as daily lows rarely deviate far from 19–23°C absent major synoptic changes. Traders are watching the final 48-hour forecast updates and official station data for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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