Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul through August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 27–30°C with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes along the Bosphorus. Late-summer climatology shows average highs around 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected absent any sudden shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Ensemble guidance highlights low risk of extremes, keeping trader focus on the 27–28°C range as the most probable outcome while noting that updated model runs closer to the date could refine intensity if cloud cover or wind changes develop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 22 agosto?
31°C 69%
30°C 66%
29°C 65%
25°C 58%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
58%
26°C
35%
27°C
53%
28°C
35%
29°C
65%
30°C
66%
31°C
69%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
10%
31°C 69%
30°C 66%
29°C 65%
25°C 58%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
58%
26°C
35%
27°C
53%
28°C
35%
29°C
65%
30°C
66%
31°C
69%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul through August 22, supporting daytime maxima near 27–30°C with light northerly flow and moderating sea breezes along the Bosphorus. Late-summer climatology shows average highs around 28–29°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected absent any sudden shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Ensemble guidance highlights low risk of extremes, keeping trader focus on the 27–28°C range as the most probable outcome while noting that updated model runs closer to the date could refine intensity if cloud cover or wind changes develop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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