Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Warsaw's August 22 maximum temperature likely settling near 21–22°C, supported by typical late-summer high pressure and moderate humidity levels. Ensemble models indicate a mix of partial cloud cover and light showers that will limit surface heating and solar insolation, preventing stronger warming while steering cooler maritime air into the region. This produces the tight clustering around those two outcomes, with 23°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger southerly flow that current runs do not strongly favor. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from synoptic patterns keeps probabilities split. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will drive any final shifts before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 22 agosto?
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 12%
20°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$254 Vol.
1%
19°C
$444 Vol.
5%
20°C
$775 Vol.
11%
21°C
$294 Vol.
36%
22°C
$588 Vol.
36%
23°C
$631 Vol.
12%
24°C
$160 Vol.
3%
25°C
$251 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$562 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Warsaw's August 22 maximum temperature likely settling near 21–22°C, supported by typical late-summer high pressure and moderate humidity levels. Ensemble models indicate a mix of partial cloud cover and light showers that will limit surface heating and solar insolation, preventing stronger warming while steering cooler maritime air into the region. This produces the tight clustering around those two outcomes, with 23°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger southerly flow that current runs do not strongly favor. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from synoptic patterns keeps probabilities split. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will drive any final shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,736Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Warsaw's August 22 maximum temperature likely settling near 21–22°C, supported by typical late-summer high pressure and moderate humidity levels. Ensemble models indicate a mix of partial cloud cover and light showers that will limit surface heating and solar insolation, preventing stronger warming while steering cooler maritime air into the region. This produces the tight clustering around those two outcomes, with 23°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger southerly flow that current runs do not strongly favor. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from synoptic patterns keeps probabilities split. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will drive any final shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,736Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Warsaw's August 22 maximum temperature likely settling near 21–22°C, supported by typical late-summer high pressure and moderate humidity levels. Ensemble models indicate a mix of partial cloud cover and light showers that will limit surface heating and solar insolation, preventing stronger warming while steering cooler maritime air into the region. This produces the tight clustering around those two outcomes, with 23°C or higher requiring clearer skies and stronger southerly flow that current runs do not strongly favor. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from synoptic patterns keeps probabilities split. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will drive any final shifts before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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