Recent model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22, with limited day-to-day shifts in the 500 hPa ridge and surface high keeping conditions stable. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in timing of weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima cluster near 22°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader weighting toward these two outcomes over cooler or warmer tails. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and insolation forecasts, directly affecting resolution between the leading probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 22 agosto?
22°C 43%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
14%
22°C
43%
23°C
35%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$257 Vol.
4%
21°C
$419 Vol.
14%
22°C
$261 Vol.
43%
23°C
$438 Vol.
35%
24°C
$395 Vol.
7%
25°C
$292 Vol.
3%
26°C
$119 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22, with limited day-to-day shifts in the 500 hPa ridge and surface high keeping conditions stable. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in timing of weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima cluster near 22°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader weighting toward these two outcomes over cooler or warmer tails. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and insolation forecasts, directly affecting resolution between the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,617Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22, with limited day-to-day shifts in the 500 hPa ridge and surface high keeping conditions stable. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in timing of weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima cluster near 22°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader weighting toward these two outcomes over cooler or warmer tails. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and insolation forecasts, directly affecting resolution between the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,617Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum of 22–23°C in Moscow on August 22, with limited day-to-day shifts in the 500 hPa ridge and surface high keeping conditions stable. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small differences in timing of weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima cluster near 22°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader weighting toward these two outcomes over cooler or warmer tails. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and insolation forecasts, directly affecting resolution between the leading probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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