Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 21, 2026, highlight typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble models from agencies like Roshydromet indicating overnight minimums near 11–14°C. This positions sub-10°C readings as plausible if clearer skies enhance heat loss or a weak cold front arrives, supporting the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 9°C or below. Mid-range outcomes around 12–15°C reflect consensus on moderate humidity and westerly flow moderating extremes, while warmer thresholds above 16°C remain unlikely absent unusual warm advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 21 agosto?
9°C or below 91%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
30%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 91%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
9°C or below
$87 Vol.
91%
10°C
$127 Vol.
58%
11°C
$92 Vol.
61%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$16 Vol.
34%
16°C
$5,356 Vol.
30%
17°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$69 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 21, 2026, highlight typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble models from agencies like Roshydromet indicating overnight minimums near 11–14°C. This positions sub-10°C readings as plausible if clearer skies enhance heat loss or a weak cold front arrives, supporting the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 9°C or below. Mid-range outcomes around 12–15°C reflect consensus on moderate humidity and westerly flow moderating extremes, while warmer thresholds above 16°C remain unlikely absent unusual warm advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,967Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 21, 2026, highlight typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble models from agencies like Roshydromet indicating overnight minimums near 11–14°C. This positions sub-10°C readings as plausible if clearer skies enhance heat loss or a weak cold front arrives, supporting the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 9°C or below. Mid-range outcomes around 12–15°C reflect consensus on moderate humidity and westerly flow moderating extremes, while warmer thresholds above 16°C remain unlikely absent unusual warm advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,967Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 21, 2026, highlight typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, with ensemble models from agencies like Roshydromet indicating overnight minimums near 11–14°C. This positions sub-10°C readings as plausible if clearer skies enhance heat loss or a weak cold front arrives, supporting the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 9°C or below. Mid-range outcomes around 12–15°C reflect consensus on moderate humidity and westerly flow moderating extremes, while warmer thresholds above 16°C remain unlikely absent unusual warm advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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