Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 21 agosto?
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
33%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
$109 Vol.
33%
18°C
$173 Vol.
59%
19°C
$123 Vol.
59%
20°C
$77 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$16 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,455Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,455Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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