Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the lowest temperature in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C, with 14°C holding the highest implied probability as cooling follows recent warmth. A shift to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers favors radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 25°C limit further drops. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, though minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from Météo-France will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 21 agosto?
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
13°C 16%
12°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
16%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
6%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
13°C 16%
12°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$84 Vol.
2%
12°C
$19 Vol.
8%
13°C
$208 Vol.
16%
14°C
$1,794 Vol.
27%
15°C
$148 Vol.
31%
16°C
$32 Vol.
6%
17°C
$52 Vol.
5%
18°C
$738 Vol.
1%
19°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the lowest temperature in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C, with 14°C holding the highest implied probability as cooling follows recent warmth. A shift to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers favors radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 25°C limit further drops. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, though minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from Météo-France will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,405Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the lowest temperature in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C, with 14°C holding the highest implied probability as cooling follows recent warmth. A shift to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers favors radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 25°C limit further drops. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, though minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from Météo-France will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,405Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the lowest temperature in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C, with 14°C holding the highest implied probability as cooling follows recent warmth. A shift to partly cloudy skies with isolated showers favors radiative cooling overnight, while daytime highs near 25°C limit further drops. This aligns with typical late-August climatology of 13–15°C minima once heatwave conditions ease, though minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from Météo-France will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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