Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 22 indicate cloudy skies with rain developing later, capping solar heating and supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. This aligns closely with Tokyo’s late-August climatology of 30.7°C average highs, where scattered showers and moderate humidity suppress peaks while light winds and the urban heat island effect allow brief warming spells. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection that could trim a degree or two, yet any clearing intervals might nudge readings higher, explaining the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 22 agosto?
31°C 39%
32°C 35%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
$28,761 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,761 Vol.
22 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
39%
32°C
35%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 35%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
$28,761 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,761 Vol.
22 ago 2026
26°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,955 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,582 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,731 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3,224 Vol.
12%
31°C
$1,700 Vol.
39%
32°C
$3,240 Vol.
35%
33°C
$2,503 Vol.
15%
34°C
$2,934 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,804 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$5,725 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 22 indicate cloudy skies with rain developing later, capping solar heating and supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. This aligns closely with Tokyo’s late-August climatology of 30.7°C average highs, where scattered showers and moderate humidity suppress peaks while light winds and the urban heat island effect allow brief warming spells. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection that could trim a degree or two, yet any clearing intervals might nudge readings higher, explaining the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,761Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 22 indicate cloudy skies with rain developing later, capping solar heating and supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. This aligns closely with Tokyo’s late-August climatology of 30.7°C average highs, where scattered showers and moderate humidity suppress peaks while light winds and the urban heat island effect allow brief warming spells. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection that could trim a degree or two, yet any clearing intervals might nudge readings higher, explaining the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,761Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 22 indicate cloudy skies with rain developing later, capping solar heating and supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C. This aligns closely with Tokyo’s late-August climatology of 30.7°C average highs, where scattered showers and moderate humidity suppress peaks while light winds and the urban heat island effect allow brief warming spells. Model consensus shows limited afternoon convection that could trim a degree or two, yet any clearing intervals might nudge readings higher, explaining the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning remain the key variables for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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