Current short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center positions 22–23°C as the most probable daily maximum for Moscow on August 23, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically average 21–23°C amid seasonal cooling. Moderate temperatures stem from stable high pressure, variable cloud cover that caps solar heating, and light boundary-layer winds limiting warm advection. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low risk of outliers above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders watch the next 24–48-hour forecast cycles and official station observations for any shifts before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 23 agosto?
23°C 52%
22°C 31%
24°C 12%
21°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
31%
23°C
52%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 52%
22°C 31%
24°C 12%
21°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
31%
23°C
52%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center positions 22–23°C as the most probable daily maximum for Moscow on August 23, aligning with late-August climatology where highs typically average 21–23°C amid seasonal cooling. Moderate temperatures stem from stable high pressure, variable cloud cover that caps solar heating, and light boundary-layer winds limiting warm advection. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low risk of outliers above 24°C or below 21°C. Traders watch the next 24–48-hour forecast cycles and official station observations for any shifts before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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